Adenike Adeyemi contributed this article on Foresight Africa Report on page 73-75. Click this link for the full report.

Nigeria’s recent national growth plan and the new government’s New Hope Agenda highlight the opportunities that Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) create for the achievement of development objectives. As we look towards 2024, our belief at FATE Foundation is that Nigeria’s MSMEs can become the main drivers of economic recovery and inclusive growth only if there is a strong emphasis on enabling productive enterprises. 2023 was a challenging year for Nigeria’s MSMEs. Despite the “green shoots” Nigeria experienced following the re-opening of the economy in 2021-22 after the pandemic, economic development in late 2022 and 2023 was negatively impacted by the flawed implementation of the Naira Redesign Policy, the impact of fuel subsidy removal which increased operational costs, and the slowdown of economic activity due to the national and state-level elections.

In our 2023 State of Entrepreneurship Report which provides a reference point for policymakers to make data-driven decisions to promote entrepreneurship in Nigeria, we noted a deterioration in entrepreneurial performance14 with over 90% of entrepreneurs surveyed indicating that the fuel subsidy removal had and continues to have a negative impact on their businesses. While they contribute over 90% to entrepreneurial activity in Nigeria and make up 87.9% of the country’s labor force, over 90% of MSMEs are micro-enterprises with suboptimal productivity and low growth15. When we apply a youth and gender lens, however, we do see some very bright spots.

 

NIGERIAN ENTREPRENEURS’ PERCEPTIONS OF OPPORTUNITY ARE FALLING

The State of Entrepreneurship survey defines the five pillars of entrepreneurship as perception of opportunities, innovation & digital technology adoption, business performance, skill acquisition, and an enabling business environment. Businesses are asked to score their perception of each pillar. Four of the five pillars declined relative to last year, demonstrating that business optimism and opportunity has fallen since 2022.

 

Young people are the fastest growing age segment and those between the ages of 15 to 29 account for 42% of MSME entrepreneurs. With high unemployment and underemployment rates being a challenge in Nigeria for that age category16, it is encouraging to see more young people take on the opportunity of building their own economic pathways and creating a job for themselves through entrepreneurship. With business growth being one of our strong indicators of entrepreneurial
performance, Women entrepreneurs—who make up 43% of MSME employees— showed better productivity output as they outperformed their male counterparts within that indicator level17.

 

In charting the pathway for a better Nigeria in 2024, the following are key policy priorities to stimulate the entrepreneurial ecosystem and enable inclusive and broad-based growth for MSMEs.

1. Changing measurement indicators for MSME investments to be age and gender disaggregated and reflect socio-economic impact e.g., decent jobs created, revenue growth, and ability to transition across segments (from micro to small or medium levels).

2. Removing regulatory bottlenecks and harmonizing multiple taxation to galvanize business startup, growth and sustainability. Digitizing required regulatory processes and procedures and creating virtual and physical one-stop shops at Local Government levels (Nigeria has 774 LGAs) can enable this at scale.

3. Accelerating the dual transition of youth and women led MSMEs (digital and green) to enhance their pathways to growth and improve their ability to attain entrepreneurial success.

4. Domesticating the African Continental Free Trade Area agreement to improve Nigeria’s MSME competitiveness (currently at 47%18) and fast track their participation in regional and global trade.

Nigeria’s small and growing businesses need to be more productive in order to contribute effectively to the growth and development of the country. Support for MSMEs is critical for Nigeria to return.

 

Adenike Adeyemi for